Championship league ladder: Peterborough United up, Birmingham City down

The Seventy Two’s Championship league ladder continues with the thoughts of The Equaliser‘s Chris Mann.

In brief, the idea will be that the table begins in the order that the Championship finished at the end of the 2010/11 season and a series of bloggers and journalists will each re-position one team further up and one team further down based on their thoughts over the summer. By the end, we will have a predicted Championship table for which we can all take some part of the blame…

 

Over to Chris…


I should probably warn you all before we begin that my form when it comes to predicting things – anything – isn’t dissimilar to that of Judgement Day’s very own Harold Camping. My most infamous moment came in a preview of the last Premier League season when I tipped Liverpool to exceed expectations despite their poor form and the departure of Rafael Benitez. So, yeah, that worked out pretty well for me.

With that in mind, here’s my verdict on what we should expect from Peterborough United and Birmingham City in The Championship next season. I would strongly advise you to instantly disregard what I say and think the exact opposite.


One up: Peterborough United

I am, as some may already know, a Southampton fan at heart, but there was no League One side I enjoyed watching more last season than Peterborough United. Specialising in high-scoring, barnstorming encounters, the London Road outfit scored more goals (106) than any other team and conceded more goals (75) than all but relegated Bristol Rovers.

Indeed, The Posh’s love of free-flowing attacking football and seeming disregard for defensive discipline has endeared them to many, their play-off triumph over Huddersfield Town capping off a stunningly entertaining – and, at times, quite preposterous – campaign.

Spearheaded by the goal-scoring prowess of Craig Mackail-Smith and the creative instincts of George Boyd, Darren Ferguson’s team have the offensive weaponry to worry even the strongest of Championship sides. If they can combine their aptitude going forward with a greater defensive resilience then there is no reason why The Posh can’t bring a few big names crashing down to earth in 2011/12.

Of course, as is so often the case with newly-promoted sides, much will depend on the club’s ability to keep its star players. Mackail-Smith is coveted by several bigger clubs and, should he decide to leave, would surely prove difficult to replace given Peterborough’s limited financial muscle. If Ferguson’s team is to make an impression next season it is imperative that they keep hold of their key personnel or, at the very least, astutely re-invest any money they may receive from sales.

As much as I’ve grown to love Peterborough over the last season or so, I’m not going to move them particularly far up the Championship ladder. In fact, I think that they are likely to be involved in a relegation battle for the majority of the season, but the old romantic in me has them staying up by the skin of their teeth.

Here’s to another relentlessly captivating campaign down at London Road.

Peterborough United up to: 21st


The Seventy Two verdict: There is a sense of deja vu about Peterborough’s promotion, with the likes of Darren Ferguson, George Boyd and Joe Lewis still at the club, but Aaron MacLean is long gone and Craig Mackail-Smith seems set for the Premier League, even if his exit may wait until later in the summer.

Defensively, Posh are going to have to shape up. Both Ferguson and his chairman Darragh McAnthony appear to have admitted mistakes in their naivety that the players that won promotion from League One last time around would be competitive in the division above. It will be a struggle – even star midfielder Grant McCann’s main previous experience of the Championship was keeping his head above water with Scunthorpe United. Unless they keep Mackail-Smith and invest in a defensively-minded midfielder or two, I can’t see Posh emulating Millwall’s excellent showing following their play-off win twelve months ago.


One down: Birmingham City

There were few neutrals who were disappointed to see Birmingham City relegated from the Premier League last season. A team which lacked consistent creativity, The Blues’ football was regularly negative and uninspiring, their efficient defence often masking a serious offensive impotency.

While the likes of Cameron Jerome and James McFadden will undoubtedly find life a little easier in The Championship, whether or not Alex McLeish can change his team’s stylistic culture is another question entirely. With Lee Bowyer and Sebastian Larsson poised to leave the club on the expiration of their contracts this summer, it is difficult to see where Birmingham’s ingenuity will come from next season.

Furthermore, should the much-vaunted central defensive pairing of Scott Dann and Roger Johnson be snapped up by Premier League suitors over the next eight weeks, McLeish may find himself with a squad shorn of its finest players, bereft of the few talents he has been able to rely upon in recent times.

I don’t foresee a completely catastrophic campaign for The Blues, they should have more than enough quality to hold their own in the second tier, but it could well be a season of rebuilding and redrawing for McLeish and his staff.

The ticker-tape and resplendent silverware of Wembley seems a very distant memory.

Birmingham City down to: 12th


The Seventy Two verdict: My own memories of Birmingham City under Alex McLeish relate to their last-gasp promotion from the Championship, edging over the line with a 2-1 win at the Madejski Stadium in May 2009. It wasn’t a particularly impressive way to get out of the division, but it was achieved through sheer guts and graft. These are qualities that ran out of effectiveness in the final few weeks of the season that has just finished, but they will come in handy again in the Championship.

A lot will depend on who stays and who goes. Blues can afford to lose one of their three centre-backs and still have a solid-looking defence, but a mid-table finish looks about right at the moment with, as Chris mentioned, Bowyer and Larsson widely expected to move on. Financial problems could play a big part in their fortunes. One final thought – will McLeish adapt his side’s style? The division has altered since Birmingham last made a success of it and there were very few teams that played direct football in the last twelve months.


Table after Chris’s picks:

  1. Blackpool
  2. West Ham United
  3. Cardiff City
  4. Reading
  5. Nottingham Forest
  6. Leeds United
  7. Burnley
  8. Millwall
  9. Leicester City
  10. Hull City
  11. Middlesbrough
  12. Birmingham City
  13. Ipswich Town
  14. Watford
  15. Bristol City
  16. Portsmouth
  17. Barnsley
  18. Southampton
  19. Derby County
  20. Crystal Palace
  21. Peterborough United
  22. Doncaster Rovers
  23. Brighton and Hove Albion
  24. Coventry City
The Seventy Two
The Seventy Two published an outstanding series of articles about the Football League between 2010-12 and was the brainchild of Leicester City fan, David Bevan. As well as collaborating with The Two Unfortunates on the Football League Blog Network and a mammoth 2011-12 season preview, the site featured a host of leading bloggers and David was rewarded with a nomination in the 2011 Football Supporters’ Federation awards. Latterly, he was joined as co-editor by Joe Harrison and TTU is happy to present this archive of the site’s output.

11 Comments

  1. RICHARD CARROLL
    June 9, 2011

    YOU ARE ALL CLEARLY IDIOTS! ANYONE WHO THINKS THAT BIRMINGHAM WILL FINISH MID-TABLE IN THE CHAMPIONSHIP IS CLEARLY A MORON. SUGGEST YOU DO SOMETHING FAR MORE CONSTRUCTIVE WITH YOUR TIME – MAYBE YOU CAN PUT YR HEADS TOGETHER AND MAKE A SHED – YOU ARE NOTHING BUT A BUNCH OF PLANKS! ………WHAT COLOUR IS THE SKY IN THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN???????

    Reply
    • theseventytwo
      June 9, 2011

      Suggest meditation.

      Reply
  2. the double m
    June 9, 2011

    this just seems to be a colossal waste of time and webspace. this makes no sense whatsoever.

    Reply
  3. Thomas Levin
    June 9, 2011

    I had seen a bit of Peterborough last season, but nothing more then what was on the BBC late at night.

    But I went to Old Trafford for the play off final and watch The Posh I was impressived by how explosive they looked, attacking quickly and swiftly.

    As been mentioned in this preview I think that Mackhail-Smith was an intelligent and strong player that constantly looked to keep the defence on the back foot and showing up when needed in front of goal or running past them with pace.

    From this game too I was impressed by Boyd and I think that he would be suited well further up the Championship table. He looked good and dangerous each time he was on the ball in that game and I’d like to see more of him next year. But could it be that someone could snap him up before the start of the season?

    Reply
  4. Jessica Cook
    June 9, 2011

    Peterborough will do a bit better than that I think :) the players even think we can do a Norwich! With that confidence, we can escape a bit higher up the league. Without Craig mackail-smith it will be hard but we aren’t a one man team and hopefully with his money we can buy some quality players and they could become great signings, who keep us up. :) utp!

    Reply
  5. Tim Vickerman
    June 9, 2011

    On paper Peterborough don’t have a chance. They got promoted with ten fewer points than last time, the (joint) second most porous defence in League One, and are without McLean and probably Mackail-Smith. In addition, Darren Ferguson has a proven track record of failure at this level.

    Play-Offs, then!

    Reply
  6. Derek Bell
    June 9, 2011

    Do people really see Blackpool going straight back? Surely they will lose their best players and will have been sussed out by even the most naive teams. I struggle to see them making the play offs, there are other teams there who can score and defend. Holloway needs to build a new team for the Championship who not only stream forward but who can defend robustly.

    Reply
    • theseventytwo
      June 9, 2011

      To clarify, no-one has suggested Blackpool will win the league. It’s just that no-one has put them down the ladder yet. This concept is proving a bit more difficult to explain than I had envisaged.

      Reply
  7. DavidYB
    June 9, 2011

    It will be bizarre having a Championship team playing in Europe!

    Check out my blog @ http://www.inforthehattrick.blogspot.com

    Reply
  8. Quincy
    June 12, 2011

    That’s a bold table prediction right there. Personally I’m expecting both Brighton and Southampton to achieve well next season, both having good managers and excellent infrastructures to succeed behind them.

    As for Birmingham in mid-table, I have to disagree. It wouldn’t surprise me to see them top the table and head straight back up – even with the inevitable departures.

    Cardiff’s team is already falling apart around them, and you’d expect maybe Leicester to make a few more waves than in 9th again.

    Reply
  9. Leeds United Magazine – Championship league ladder: Middlesbrough up, Leeds United down
    August 6, 2011

    […] Championship league ladder: Peterborough United up, Birmingham City down […]

    Reply

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